Not all roles available for this page.
Sign in to view assessments and invite other educators
Sign in using your existing Kendall Hunt account. If you don’t have one, create an educator account.
Use the actual number of items to calculate the absolute guessing error of each guess, or how far the guess is from the actual number. For example, suppose the actual number of objects is 100.
Record the absolute guessing error of at least 12 guesses in Table A of the handout (or elsewhere, as directed by your teacher).
Refer to the table you completed in the Warm-up, which shows your class' guesses and absolute guessing errors.
Earlier, you guessed the number of objects in a container and then your teacher told you the actual number.
Suppose your teacher made a mistake about the number of objects in the jar and would like to correct it. The actual number of objects in the jar is .
Have you played a number guessing game in which the guess that is closest to a target number wins?
In such a game, it doesn’t matter if the guess is above or below the target number. What matters is how far off the guess is from the target number, or the absolute guessing error. The smaller the absolute guessing error, or the closer it is to 0, the better.
Suppose eight people made these guesses for the number of pretzels in a jar: 14, 15, 19, 21, 23, 24, 26, and 28. If the actual number of pretzels is 22, the absolute guessing error of each number is as shown in the table.
| guess | 14 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| absolute guessing error | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
In this case, 21 and 23 are both winning guesses. Even though one number is an underestimate and the other an overestimate, 21 and 23 are both 1 away from 22. Of all the absolute guessing errors, 1 is the smallest.
If we plot the guesses and the guessing errors on a coordinate plane, the points would form a V shape. Notice that the V shape is above the horizontal axis, suggesting that all the vertical values are positive.
Suppose the actual number of pretzels is 19. The absolute guessing errors of the same eight guesses are shown in this table.
| guess | 14 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| absolute guessing error | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
Notice that all the errors are still nonnegative. If we plot these points on a coordinate plane, they are also on or above the horizontal line and form a V shape.
Why does the relationship between guesses and absolute guessing errors always have this kind of graph? We will explore more in the next lesson!