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The purpose of this discussion is to look at some strategies for drawing a line that fits the data well.
Invite previously selected groups to share how they found a good linear model. Sequence the discussion of the strategies in the order listed in the Activity Narrative. If possible, record and display their work for all to see.
Connect the different responses to the learning goals by asking questions such as:
If desired and time allows, demonstrate this procedure:
Display the scatter plot for all to see and ask students, “What do you notice? What do you wonder?”
Students might notice:
Students might wonder:
Tell students that these are all prices of used cars that are all the same make and model that are for sale. For each car, the scatter plot shows its year of manufacture and the price at which it is being sold. Ask students a few questions to familiarize themselves with the graph, like:
Tell students that in this task, they are going to see 2 different models for this set of data.
The scatter plots both show the year and price for the same 13 used cars. However, each scatter plot shows a different model for the relationship between year and price.
For how many cars does the model in Diagram A make a good prediction of its price?
For how many cars does the model underestimate the price?
For how many cars does it overestimate the price?
For how many cars does the model in Diagram B make a good prediction of its price?
For how many cars does the model underestimate the price?
For how many cars does it overestimate the price?
For how many cars does the prediction made by the model in Diagram A differ by more than $3,000? What about the model in Diagram B?
The purpose of this discussion is for students to see some strategies for evaluating the fit of a model.
Some questions for discussion:
We say that Model A “fits the data” better than Model B, or that model A is a “better fit.”
Is this line a good fit for the data? Explain your reasoning.
Draw a line that fits the data better.
Is this line a good fit for the data? Explain your reasoning.
Draw a line that fits the data better.
The purpose of the discussion is for students to recognize the important aspects of a linear model for a set of data.
Consider asking some of the following questions.
Your teacher will give you a piece of pasta and a straightedge.
Here are two copies of the same scatter plot. Experiment with drawing lines to fit the data. Draw the line that you think best fits the data. Compare it with a partner’s.
Here are two copies of another scatter plot. Experiment with drawing lines to fit the data. Draw the line that you think best fits the data. Compare it with a partner’s.